Unprecedented mess?? Will the divorce really come through?

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Apr 8, 2019 21:20
Three years ago, I was disappointed with the result of a referendum over Britain to leave the European Union. It seemed to me as if the UK was going to regress to the past. I can't forget that one of my Lang-8 friends wrote to me in his message that he was “hugely" disappointed.

I’m sure that those who voted for Brexit had their reasons why the UK had to leave the bloc, but the result of the referendum was not exactly the will of a majority of the British people, right? Some voted for Brexit without knowing what Brexit really was. They voted for "Leave" because the Cameron administration promoted to remain in the bloc. Correct me if I’m wrong, but some voted for Brexit to express their disapproval with the administration.

Who would have predicted the current logjam over Brexit? The UK was supposed to leave the EU on March 29 in the original plan. Now, no one knows if it’s leaving this coming Friday without a deal, or even if it’s not the case when it will leave and whether it will leave with a deal or without a deal. Prime Minister May is going to talk with Jeremy Cobyn, with the April 12 deadline looming. Will they be able to reach any compromise?

Mrs. May may not have been the most effective negotiator, but I feel sympathy with her. She worked hard for two years to make a deal with Brussels, right? But her plan was voted down in parliament three times. They said, “No,” “No” and “No!”

I even admire her tenacity. If I were in her shoes, after the third no, I would have said, “Enough. You guys just do it. Adios!” and have gone home.

Personally, I don’t think the UK will leave without a deal. That is certainly a possibility, but I don’t think no-deal Brexit will happen. It is too risky.

Perhaps, there will be a general election with another extension approved by the EU. No? For Remainers, though, a preferable scenario would be the second referendum, but it is unlikely, unfortunately.

Anyway, I hope that wise MPs will somehow come up with a workable solution.

I only wish David Cameron had not promised to hold a referendum over Brexit in the first place. He should feel guilty for all this.
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Revised version (September 21, 2019)
Three years ago, I was disappointed with the result of the referendum for Britain to leave the European Union. It seemed to me as if the UK was going to regress to the past. I remember well how one of my Lang-8 friends wrote to me in a message that he was “hugely disappointed” with the result.

I’m sure that Brexit supporters had their reasons for wanting the UK to jump the ship, but the result was not exactly the will of the majority, right? Some voted for Brexit without knowing what Brexit really was. They voted "Leave" because the Cameron administration pushed to remain. Correct me if I’m wrong, but some voted for Brexit to express their disapproval with the administration.

Who would have predicted the current logjam over Brexit? The UK was supposed to leave the EU on March 29 in the original plan. Now, no one knows if it’s leaving this coming Friday without a deal, or even if that’s not the case, when it will leave and whether it will leave with a deal or without a deal. Prime Minister May is going to talk with Jeremy Cobyn, with the April 12 deadline looming. Will they be able to reach any compromise?

Mrs. May may not have been the most effective negotiator, but I feel sympathy with her. She worked hard for two years to make a deal with Brussels, right? But her plan was voted down in parliament three times. They said, “No,” “No” and “No!”

I even admire her tenacity. If I were in her shoes, after the third no, I would have said, “Enough. You guys just do it. Adios!” and have gone home.

Personally, I don’t think the UK will leave without a deal. That is certainly a possibility, but I don’t think no-deal Brexit will happen. It is too risky.

Perhaps, there will be a general election with another extension approved by the EU. No? For Remainers, though, a preferable scenario would be the second referendum, but it is unlikely, unfortunately.

Anyway, I hope that wise MPs will somehow come up with a workable solution.

I only wish David Cameron had not promised to hold a referendum over Brexit in the first place. He should feel guilty for all this.
Not exact translation
3年前、英国のEUからの離脱をめぐる国民投票の結果を知ったとき、私はがっかりした。私にはそれは過去への後退のように思えた。Lang-8の友人の一人が(イギリス人)、結果に「ものすごく」失望している、とメッセージに書いてきたことをよく覚えている。

EU離脱に投票した人たちには、EUにとどまりたくない彼らなりの理由があったのだろうが、国民投票の結果は「大多数の英国民の意思を反映したもの」ではなかったのではないかと思う。離脱に賛成したのは、当時のキャメロン政権が残留を推進したから。間違っていたら訂正して欲しいのだが、政権への不支持を表明するために離脱に投票した人もいると思う。

今日のこのEU離脱をめぐる行き詰まり状態を誰が予想しただろうか?当初の計画では、英国は3月29日にEUを離脱しているはずだった。現時点で、4月12日合意なしの離脱となるのか、あるいは、もしそうならなかった場合、いつ離脱するのか、議会と合意できるのかできないのか、誰にもわからない。今週金曜日の期限が迫る中、メイ首相はジェレミー・コービン労働党党首と協議を行なおうとしている。何らかの妥協案を見いだせるだろうか?

メイ首相は交渉に長けていたとは言えなかったかもしれない。だが、私はメイ首相に同情する。2年あまりに当たりEUとの交渉を頑張ってきた。しかし、メイ氏の計画は議会に3度も否決された。「ノー」を3度も突きつけられた。

メイ氏の粘り強さには尊敬すら感じる。私なら3度目のノーで「もうたくさん!もうあなたたちでやってちょうだい。サヨナラ!」とさっさとオサラバしていただろう。

個人的には合意なしの離脱はないと思っている。可能性としては確かにあるが、それは起こらないだろう。リスクがありすぎる。

おそらく、総選挙を行なうこととなり、さらなる延長をEUが承認することになるのでは?EU残留を望む人にとっては、もう一度国民投票を開くのが好ましいシナリオだろう。しかし、残念ながらその可能性は低い。

とにかく、賢明な議員が何らかの有効な解決策を見つけることを望むしかない。

それにしても、キャメロン氏がEU離脱を問う国民投票を開くなどと選挙公約に掲げたりさえしなければ、と思わずにはいられない。キャメロン氏は、この混乱に対して罪の意識を感じるべきだろう。
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